Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Stützle 52.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 88.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.7%
Neutral zone
Stützle 56.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Backlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Backlund
Stützle
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Backlund
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Stützle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Backlund
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
52.7% (501)
-2.2%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
54.2% (59)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
56.3% (32)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stützle
Home
48.1% (636)
51.9% (285)
Away
51.4% (671)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Backlund
Stützle
P1
45.4%
51.6%
P2
54.1%
55.4%
P3
49.2%
52.2%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 02:30 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |