Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Granlund 48.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Turcotte leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Turcotte 66.3%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 50.6%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 54.6%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Turcotte
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Turcotte
Granlund
Last 10: Turcotte 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
5
2
Turcotte
Granlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Turcotte
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
48.9% (476)
+4.7%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
57.9% (107)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
31.1% (61)
+68.9%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +68.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Granlund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Granlund
Home
53.2% (263)
53.3% (255)
Away
55.0% (209)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Turcotte
Granlund
P1
57.2%
52.0%
P2
59.6%
48.6%
P3
44.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Granlund
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |