Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Granlund 48.6% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 51.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 87.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 75.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Hughes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Hughes
Granlund
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
8
0
Hughes
Granlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
8
Hughes
Granlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hughes
Granlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
48.6% (6,765)
-12.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
53.0% (760)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
43.6% (635)
-12.6%
On power play, Granlund has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Hughes
Granlund
Home
36.8% (1,681)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Hughes
Granlund
P1
36.9%
48.8%
P2
33.4%
48.7%
P3
38.2%
48.5%
OT
37.5%
43.3%
Final 5 min
34.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |