Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Granlund 45.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 61.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 67.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 61.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Pavelski
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pavelski
Granlund
Last 6: Pavelski 2-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Pavelski
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
46.8% (295)
+5.5%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
38.5% (26)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
36.5% (63)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Granlund is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Granlund
Home
54.2% (360)
47.8% (178)
Away
52.6% (329)
41.7% (206)
By Period
Pavelski
Granlund
P1
54.5%
44.7%
P2
56.7%
42.9%
P3
50.8%
45.7%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |