Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Granlund 48.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 53.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 54.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 54.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Norris
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Norris
Granlund
Last 6: Norris 6-0 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
0
Norris
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
48.9% (476)
+1.6%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
57.9% (107)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
31.1% (61)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Granlund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Norris
Granlund
Home
48.1% (233)
53.3% (255)
Away
51.6% (246)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Norris
Granlund
P1
53.1%
52.0%
P2
49.2%
48.6%
P3
48.4%
45.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Granlund
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Josh Norris |