Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Fisher 48.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 52.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 57.4%
Neutral zone
Stajan 58.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Stajan
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Stajan
Fisher
Last 10: Stajan 7-3 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
3
Stajan
Fisher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
0
Stajan
Fisher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
47.4% (939)
+5.0%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
52.2% (178)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
47.9% (121)
+0.2%
On power play, Fisher has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Stajan is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Stajan shoots left. Fisher is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Stajan
Fisher
Home
52.9% (427)
50.6% (693)
Away
50.2% (418)
45.4% (553)
By Period
Stajan
Fisher
P1
49.6%
48.9%
P2
53.2%
47.2%
P3
51.5%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |