Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fisher wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 53.2% vs Richards 49.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 66.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 79.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 64.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Fisher
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fisher
Richards
Last 5: Fisher 1-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Fisher
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Fisher
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (948)
49.7% (352)
+5.5%
Power Play
49.7% (173)
42.9% (7)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
49.1% (116)
-3.4%
On power play, Fisher has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Fisher shoots right. Richards is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Fisher
Richards
Home
53.1% (591)
49.4% (247)
Away
53.7% (659)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Fisher
Richards
P1
54.3%
53.8%
P2
54.5%
47.7%
P3
51.6%
47.3%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Mike Richards |