Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 48.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-2 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 79.5%
Defensive zone
Fisher 74.5%
Neutral zone
Fisher 72.3%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Fisher
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
13
(15 meetings)
2
13
Fisher
Stastny
Last 10: Fisher 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Fisher
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fisher
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
9
Fisher
Stastny
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (945)
55.0% (1,136)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.3% (167)
57.5% (200)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (87)
53.1% (64)
-7.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Fisher is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Fisher shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Fisher
Stastny
Home
49.4% (648)
58.5% (744)
Away
47.1% (569)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Fisher
Stastny
P1
48.4%
57.9%
P2
48.3%
54.9%
P3
49.4%
53.0%
OT
27.3%
72.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |