Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Ribeiro 39.3% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 95.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 92.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Spezza
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Spezza
Ribeiro
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Ribeiro
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Ribeiro
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
37.8% (650)
+15.4%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
38.9% (108)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
0.0% (2)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Spezza
Ribeiro
Home
57.5% (518)
37.9% (417)
Away
51.8% (463)
37.9% (343)
By Period
Spezza
Ribeiro
P1
55.4%
38.3%
P2
54.1%
38.8%
P3
55.5%
36.4%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
33.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |