Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Richards 48.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 66.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 90.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 82.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Backes
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backes
Richards
Last 6: Backes 5-1 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
1
Backes
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
49.5% (529)
+5.0%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
44.4% (36)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
39.3% (28)
+12.2%
On power play, Backes has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Backes
Richards
Home
55.3% (524)
47.9% (292)
Away
54.0% (606)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Backes
Richards
P1
53.2%
46.0%
P2
54.2%
52.0%
P3
57.1%
48.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Mike Richards |