Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.0% vs Koivu 51.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 61.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 80.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 66.3%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Lindholm
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lindholm
Koivu
Last 7: Lindholm 1-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Lindholm
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Lindholm
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Lindholm
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (598)
50.7% (1,073)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.2% (111)
65.3% (216)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (84)
43.4% (286)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lindholm is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Lindholm shoots right. Koivu is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Koivu
Home
58.6% (403)
50.9% (752)
Away
50.3% (390)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Lindholm
Koivu
P1
59.2%
51.9%
P2
54.2%
50.3%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |