Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Koivu 52.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 72.1%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 74.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 74.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Barbashev
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barbashev
Koivu
Last 5: Barbashev 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Barbashev
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Barbashev
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
53.9% (592)
-9.2%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
54.2% (96)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
48.8% (123)
-1.2%
On power play, Barbashev has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Barbashev shoots left. Koivu is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Koivu
Home
39.6% (134)
52.8% (386)
Away
49.5% (194)
53.4% (425)
By Period
Barbashev
Koivu
P1
38.3%
51.7%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
49.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
45.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |