Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Elias 40.5% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 93.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 82.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 91.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Koivu
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Koivu
Elias
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
0
Koivu
Elias
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
39.3% (550)
+16.0%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
50.0% (60)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
27.0% (63)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Koivu
Elias
Home
58.3% (906)
39.1% (335)
Away
52.1% (885)
39.1% (338)
By Period
Koivu
Elias
P1
53.0%
39.0%
P2
55.6%
35.4%
P3
56.6%
44.4%
OT
64.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |