Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Oshie 45.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 77.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 83.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 80.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Koivu
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Koivu
Oshie
Last 7: Koivu 5-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Oshie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (842)
46.8% (186)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.2% (248)
25.0% (16)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (178)
36.0% (25)
+19.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Koivu is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Koivu shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Koivu
Oshie
Home
54.1% (621)
47.2% (106)
Away
51.6% (672)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Koivu
Oshie
P1
52.0%
55.6%
P2
55.5%
40.8%
P3
51.2%
37.5%
OT
45.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |