Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.3%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.1% vs Bozak 53.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 50.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Koivu
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Koivu
Bozak
Last 8: Koivu 5-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
2
Koivu
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (672)
55.4% (719)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.5% (115)
45.1% (51)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (107)
50.0% (60)
-0.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Koivu is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Koivu shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bozak
Home
56.6% (410)
55.5% (443)
Away
52.9% (484)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Koivu
Bozak
P1
51.7%
53.3%
P2
56.7%
54.7%
P3
55.3%
55.4%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |