Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Koivu wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.1% vs Sobotka 55.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 60.5%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 78.1%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 66.0%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Koivu
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Koivu
Sobotka
Last 5: Koivu 5-0 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Sobotka
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (802)
56.0% (373)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.0% (198)
57.1% (21)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (105)
56.1% (107)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Koivu shoots left. Sobotka is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sobotka
Home
54.6% (584)
58.4% (255)
Away
49.7% (539)
53.7% (246)
By Period
Koivu
Sobotka
P1
50.7%
53.4%
P2
51.1%
57.9%
P3
54.4%
55.5%
OT
57.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |