Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.0% vs 41.5%). Rolston wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rolston 44.6% vs Marner 42.7% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Marner 58.7%
Defensive zone
Marner 53.8%
Neutral zone
Rolston 51.1%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Rolston
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rolston
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (146)
41.7% (496)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
55.6% (18)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
35.4% (65)
+3.4%
On power play, Rolston has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Rolston is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Rolston shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Rolston
Marner
Home
39.6% (106)
38.0% (321)
Away
44.3% (106)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Rolston
Marner
P1
41.7%
38.7%
P2
41.0%
41.5%
P3
43.7%
45.5%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rolston
50.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%