Scouting Report
Tyler Kennedy holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kennedy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 43.0% vs Kennedy 45.0% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Marner 51.7%
Defensive zone
Marner 52.4%
Neutral zone
Kennedy 53.4%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Marner
Kennedy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Kennedy
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (482)
43.7% (311)
-1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
46.3% (80)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
25.0% (8)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kennedy shoots right. Marner is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Marner shoots right. Kennedy is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Marner
Kennedy
Home
38.4% (307)
43.2% (192)
Away
45.7% (258)
44.2% (208)
By Period
Marner
Kennedy
P1
38.8%
39.2%
P2
41.3%
41.0%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
46.0%▲
42.5%
41.8%
Kennedy
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.8%