Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Frost 50.5% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Arnott 52.2%
Defensive zone
Arnott 54.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 52.6%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Arnott
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
49.6% (3,642)
+0.1%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
55.5% (631)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
55.0% (40)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Arnott
Frost
Home
52.1% (891)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.2% (772)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Arnott
Frost
P1
46.1%
51.1%
P2
53.6%
51.3%
P3
50.1%
48.7%
OT
71.4%
64.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%