Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.8%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Frost wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.3% vs Laughton 55.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 92.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 80.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 62.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Frost
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Frost
Laughton
Last 8: Frost 6-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
1
Frost
Laughton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (745)
54.5% (488)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.5% (172)
85.7% (7)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
63.4% (142)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Frost shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Frost
Laughton
Home
57.3% (497)
57.5% (275)
Away
56.6% (429)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Frost
Laughton
P1
60.1%
56.0%
P2
56.0%
61.8%
P3
54.7%
52.1%
OT
63.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |