Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Thompson 50.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 92.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 81.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Hodgson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Hodgson
Thompson
Last 5: Hodgson 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
0
Hodgson
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
52.2% (785)
-5.8%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
42.9% (14)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
45.7% (175)
+2.1%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hodgson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Hodgson shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Thompson
Home
48.8% (490)
54.1% (475)
Away
44.7% (479)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Hodgson
Thompson
P1
46.6%
50.0%
P2
51.2%
49.5%
P3
42.4%
54.0%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |