Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.4% vs Thompson 52.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 85.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Scheifele
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Scheifele
Thompson
Last 8: Scheifele 5-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Scheifele
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
2
Scheifele
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (938)
54.4% (870)
-12.1%
Power Play
50.0% (168)
45.8% (24)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
26.8% (41)
45.1% (162)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Scheifele is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Scheifele shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thompson
Home
43.1% (569)
55.3% (510)
Away
42.7% (579)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Scheifele
Thompson
P1
45.3%
53.5%
P2
38.6%
52.2%
P3
44.1%
52.7%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |