Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 46.6%). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Kadri 46.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Pettersson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
Kadri
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Pettersson
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Pettersson
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
46.5% (866)
-0.6%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
48.8% (86)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
38.5% (13)
-2.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Kadri
Home
49.1% (607)
45.8% (513)
Away
44.7% (595)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Pettersson
Kadri
P1
45.5%
52.4%
P2
48.0%
48.5%
P3
47.1%
39.7%
OT
47.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |