Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Kadri 46.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 61.9%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 78.0%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 54.1%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Sourdif
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Sourdif
Kadri
Last 10: Sourdif 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
4
2
Sourdif
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
8
Sourdif
Kadri
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
46.5% (866)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
48.8% (86)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
38.5% (13)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sourdif shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Kadri
Home
43.6% (321)
45.8% (513)
Away
46.2% (301)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Sourdif
Kadri
P1
41.9%
52.4%
P2
44.3%
48.5%
P3
47.9%
39.7%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |