Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.6%). Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barron wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 46.8% vs Kadri 46.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 87.6%
Defensive zone
Barron 85.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.4%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Barron
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Barron
Kadri
Last 10: Barron 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Barron
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
5
0
Barron
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
1
Barron
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
46.5% (866)
+2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.8% (86)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (187)
38.5% (13)
+3.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Barron shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Barron
Kadri
Home
44.4% (306)
45.8% (513)
Away
48.3% (265)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Barron
Kadri
P1
45.5%
52.4%
P2
49.8%
48.5%
P3
43.1%
39.7%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |