Nazem Kadri vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.4%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Kadri 4-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (848)
46.0% (250)
+0.9%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
70.6% (17)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
31.8% (22)
+6.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kadri is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Kadri shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.5% (495)
50.3% (175)
Away
47.6% (452)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Kadri
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.6%
48.5%
P2
48.9%
45.9%
P3
40.1%
46.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
47.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2025 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |