Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Couturier 53.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 93.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 70.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 79.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Kadri
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kadri
Couturier
Last 9: Kadri 2-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Kadri
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Kadri
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Kadri
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
53.9% (792)
-7.4%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
62.9% (70)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
51.3% (234)
-12.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Kadri
Couturier
Home
45.8% (513)
51.4% (541)
Away
47.6% (452)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Kadri
Couturier
P1
52.4%
56.0%
P2
48.5%
52.6%
P3
39.7%
54.3%
OT
44.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |