Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Talbot 57.3%
Defensive zone
Talbot 67.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Talbot
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
52.3% (6,036)
-4.0%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
56.1% (164)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
44.1% (1,638)
-1.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Talbot
Dowd
Home
48.0% (1,219)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Talbot
Dowd
P1
48.7%
51.5%
P2
43.5%
50.4%
P3
48.6%
50.3%
OT
45.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%