Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.0% vs Shore 52.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 72.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 61.5%
Neutral zone
Shore 59.6%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Duchene
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Duchene
Shore
Last 5: Duchene 5-0 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Shore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Shore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Shore
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,081)
55.2% (221)
-2.6%
Power Play
49.6% (119)
50.0% (10)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
0.0% (5)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Duchene is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Duchene shoots left. Shore is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Duchene
Shore
Home
54.9% (625)
54.2% (96)
Away
49.3% (592)
53.6% (140)
By Period
Duchene
Shore
P1
52.7%
52.7%
P2
54.1%
55.0%
P3
49.5%
53.1%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.2%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |