Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 72.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Point
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Point
Bjugstad
Last 6: Point 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
2
Point
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
50.7% (906)
-4.8%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
48.1% (108)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.4% (239)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Point
Bjugstad
Home
45.8% (286)
49.8% (643)
Away
45.5% (358)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Point
Bjugstad
P1
45.9%
49.4%
P2
48.8%
50.5%
P3
40.6%
47.9%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |