Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.4%). Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 77.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 57.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Ek
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ek
Bjugstad
Last 5: Ek 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Ek
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
3
0
Ek
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
49.7% (292)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
50.0% (6)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
47.2% (36)
+0.7%
On power play, Ek has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Ek
Bjugstad
Home
49.9% (693)
48.7% (193)
Away
48.3% (625)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Ek
Bjugstad
P1
47.4%
41.5%
P2
53.1%
57.3%
P3
46.3%
50.0%
OT
54.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |