Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 88.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 66.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 68.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Jankowski
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jankowski
Bjugstad
Last 5: Jankowski 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
49.7% (292)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
47.2% (36)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Bjugstad
Home
53.2% (331)
48.7% (193)
Away
54.2% (284)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Jankowski
Bjugstad
P1
52.7%
41.5%
P2
55.8%
57.3%
P3
52.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |