Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.5% vs Bonino 44.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 58.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 88.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 85.4%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Sutter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sutter
Bonino
Last 7: Sutter 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Sutter
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,005)
43.3% (423)
+8.3%
Power Play
36.5% (52)
45.5% (22)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (211)
20.0% (5)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Sutter shoots right. Bonino is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bonino
Home
49.3% (663)
44.1% (222)
Away
51.7% (632)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Sutter
Bonino
P1
48.0%
43.9%
P2
50.4%
43.4%
P3
53.4%
41.6%
OT
38.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |