Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Paquette wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs Bonino 53.9% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 78.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 76.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 72.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Paquette
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Paquette
Bonino
Last 6: Paquette 1-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Paquette
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Paquette
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (474)
56.4% (771)
-9.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.0% (30)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (23)
43.8% (169)
+12.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Paquette is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Paquette shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Paquette
Bonino
Home
50.2% (233)
56.5% (531)
Away
44.0% (266)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Paquette
Bonino
P1
42.0%
56.7%
P2
47.6%
48.1%
P3
51.6%
58.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |