Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Bonino 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 63.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Evans
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Evans
Bonino
Last 6: Evans 3-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Evans
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Evans
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.1% (972)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
44.6% (1,693)
+2.5%
On power play, Evans has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Evans
Bonino
Home
53.3% (2,621)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Evans
Bonino
P1
54.0%
50.6%
P2
50.9%
48.5%
P3
52.0%
51.1%
OT
46.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jake Evans |