Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.4%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.6% vs Bonino 50.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 52.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 59.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 53.4%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Richards
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richards
Bonino
Last 6: Richards 5-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (352)
50.2% (691)
-0.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
61.5% (78)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (116)
45.6% (149)
+3.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Richards shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Richards
Bonino
Home
49.4% (247)
52.7% (467)
Away
49.6% (228)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Richards
Bonino
P1
53.8%
48.9%
P2
47.7%
50.2%
P3
47.3%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |