Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Cousins 47.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 63.6%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 58.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 58.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Jarnkrok
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jarnkrok
Cousins
Last 6: Jarnkrok 4-2 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
Cousins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Cousins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
47.0% (477)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
45.2% (42)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
0.0% (1)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Cousins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Cousins
Home
53.8% (210)
48.3% (234)
Away
43.8% (121)
45.5% (286)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Cousins
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
54.0%
43.5%
P3
47.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |