Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Foligno 49.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 59.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 68.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Kopitar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Foligno
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Kopitar
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kopitar
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
49.5% (291)
+6.6%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
55.8% (43)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
47.2% (53)
+4.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Foligno
Home
57.3% (553)
48.9% (178)
Away
56.4% (566)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Kopitar
Foligno
P1
56.5%
43.0%
P2
58.0%
55.9%
P3
56.1%
50.0%
OT
57.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |