Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 76.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Cozens
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cozens
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
49.5% (291)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
55.8% (43)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.2% (53)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Cozens
Foligno
Home
54.8% (383)
48.9% (178)
Away
52.3% (354)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Cozens
Foligno
P1
56.0%
43.0%
P2
51.2%
55.9%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |