Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Foligno 46.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 84.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 92.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 86.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Pavelski
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pavelski
Foligno
Last 5: Pavelski 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
46.3% (566)
+6.9%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
43.4% (106)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
46.4% (69)
+8.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Foligno is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Foligno
Home
56.1% (421)
48.9% (364)
Away
53.9% (490)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Pavelski
Foligno
P1
57.1%
48.7%
P2
55.8%
46.9%
P3
52.5%
44.0%
OT
44.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |