Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.9%). Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Foligno 49.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kunin 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kunin 53.5%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Kunin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kunin
Foligno
Last 10: Kunin 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Kunin
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Kunin
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Kunin
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
49.5% (291)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.8% (43)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
47.2% (53)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Kunin
Foligno
Home
50.0% (178)
48.9% (178)
Away
50.8% (193)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Kunin
Foligno
P1
53.0%
43.0%
P2
53.8%
55.9%
P3
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |