Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Danielson wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danielson 42.7% vs Foligno 49.9% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danielson 80.9%
Defensive zone
Danielson 80.4%
Neutral zone
Danielson 79.4%
Result
Nate Danielson favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Danielson
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Danielson
Foligno
Last 5: Danielson 0-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Danielson
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Danielson
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Danielson
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danielson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (140)
49.5% (291)
-11.6%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
55.8% (43)
-35.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.2% (53)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Danielson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Danielson is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Danielson shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Danielson
Foligno
Home
38.4% (99)
48.9% (178)
Away
36.2% (47)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Danielson
Foligno
P1
41.2%
43.0%
P2
37.7%
55.9%
P3
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |