Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kindel wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.9% vs Paul 53.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kindel 79.1%
Neutral zone
Kindel 73.5%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Kindel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kindel
Paul
Last 8: Kindel 2-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Kindel
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kindel
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Kindel
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (518)
53.7% (354)
-10.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
59.0% (61)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
52.9% (34)
-2.9%
On even strength, Paul has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kindel is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kindel shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Kindel
Paul
Home
45.0% (291)
55.1% (216)
Away
43.0% (284)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Kindel
Paul
P1
40.6%
54.9%
P2
46.1%
54.5%
P3
41.5%
54.3%
OT
92.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
38.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
38.0%▬
37.0%
44.0%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nick Paul |