Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 84.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Paul
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Paul
Kuraly
Last 9: Paul 8-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
0
Paul
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
52.6% (464)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
100.0% (1)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
46.5% (155)
+6.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Paul
Kuraly
Home
55.1% (216)
55.9% (322)
Away
53.6% (233)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Paul
Kuraly
P1
54.9%
55.9%
P2
54.5%
46.7%
P3
54.3%
50.7%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | OT | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2026 | OT | 00:18 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |