Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 54.0%
Defensive zone
Tuch 58.4%
Neutral zone
Tuch 51.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Tuch
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Tuch
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
41.3% (3,431)
-2.6%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
47.3% (655)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
47.4% (135)
-4.2%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tuch is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Tuch shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Home / Away
Tuch
Schmaltz
Home
42.1% (394)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
38.8% (402)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Tuch
Schmaltz
P1
44.7%
41.3%
P2
40.6%
42.8%
P3
36.0%
43.1%
OT
27.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |