Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundeström wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 48.0% vs Schmaltz 44.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 63.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 56.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Last 9: Lundeström 4-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Lundeström
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Lundeström
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (366)
42.5% (485)
+3.9%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
45.1% (51)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lundeström is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Lundeström shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Home
46.9% (192)
45.0% (258)
Away
48.1% (206)
40.9% (279)
By Period
Lundeström
Schmaltz
P1
48.1%
47.0%
P2
50.4%
42.7%
P3
45.6%
38.4%
OT
16.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
47.5%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |