Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 93.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 72.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 87.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 91.1%
8.9%
91.1%
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Last 5: Dickinson 0-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Dickinson
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Dickinson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
38.5% (309)
+12.7%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
53.2% (79)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
25.0% (12)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Home
52.9% (664)
38.0% (184)
Away
46.7% (572)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Dickinson
Schmaltz
P1
49.0%
40.3%
P2
48.3%
39.9%
P3
52.5%
40.7%
OT
61.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |