Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 53.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 87.8%
Neutral zone
Ek 72.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Ek
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ek
Schmaltz
Last 7: Ek 5-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
45.9% (697)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
47.9% (117)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
48.0% (25)
-0.1%
On power play, Ek has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Ek
Schmaltz
Home
49.9% (693)
44.9% (434)
Away
48.3% (625)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Ek
Schmaltz
P1
47.4%
41.5%
P2
53.1%
46.7%
P3
46.3%
51.1%
OT
54.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |