Justin Hryckowian vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hryckowian on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.1% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.2%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 81.0%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 57.9%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Last 7: Hryckowian 4-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
4
0
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (238)
45.9% (697)
+12.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
47.9% (117)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
48.0% (25)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Hryckowian is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Hryckowian shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Home
57.7% (142)
44.9% (434)
Away
53.3% (135)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
P1
49.4%
41.5%
P2
64.5%
46.7%
P3
49.4%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
48.0%▼
55.0%
55.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |