Michael McCarron vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 95.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 80.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
McCarron
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
McCarron
Schmaltz
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
7
McCarron
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
12
0
McCarron
Schmaltz
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
4
McCarron
Schmaltz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
41.3% (3,431)
+12.0%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
47.3% (655)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
47.4% (135)
+2.7%
On even strength, McCarron has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Home / Away
McCarron
Schmaltz
Home
52.3% (1,696)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
McCarron
Schmaltz
P1
53.8%
41.3%
P2
52.3%
42.8%
P3
51.9%
43.1%
OT
33.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |